Looking at active weather for the Great Lakes Area.

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Update on Big Storm

The low currently tracking in from the Central Plains has been a very difficult system to predict. From an all snow maker, to an all rain maker and then to the middle. As of right now, models are beginning to show that the storm could potentially yet again head further south. The further south it goes, the more snow we will get. The first map shows the cone of where the storm could possibly go, further north the less snow, further south the more. Second map shows expected precip totals.

The red cone indicates potentially where the storm centre could go. the blue circle is the current projected storm centre track.

Totals will be extremely varied. Again, it is highly track dependent as there is the chance the storm track will remain far enough south that Southern Ontario gets mostly snow. Either way, the storm will be very messy, and recommended that tomorrow be an inside day. If you must travel, do so very carefully.

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

A Mid December Super Duper Ultra Mega Hyper Awesome Snowstorm Potential!

Well winter has been relatively uneventful in many areas in Southern Ontario, save of course for the lucky folks who received a winters worth of snow already in 4 days. Now for the big picture; there is a snowstorm potential this weekend. It will come stacked onto a base of about 5cm from a passing clipper this Friday.

This storm is a little difficult to track at the moment because of how early it is. In my thought, however, based on the most likely track of these storms, these are some snow guesstimates. Rain is possible, if not likely, in Montreal, with heaviest snow in Ottawa likely. The further west and north it moves, the worse off we'll be. (Meaning more rain) Right now, i'd say Cornwall should be right along the mix line, and anywhere west should stay snow.

Keep in mind, these are early guesses. Easily changable at this point depending on storm track. This storm system could potentially split into 2 systems, one affecting the Windsor area, hence the higher snowfall amounts, and the big snowfall, the main one in the east. The heavy snow region in the east will be quite narrow. So while it may extend well over to Cobourg, areas just west may receive relatively meager amounts, while areas further east may in fact get well over a foot. Finally, the last map depicts the storm tracks to help clear up confusion. Cross your fingers for this to be all snow!!